Robert Gilmore Pontius Jr is a Professor in Clark University’s Graduate School of Geography. Dr. Pontius specializes in Geographic Information Science (GIS) with particular expertise in statistics, simulation modeling, and land change science. He derives quantitative methods that are in the GIS software TerrSet, which Clark Labs produces. Pontius works with Clark Labs to improve the methods for carbon offset projects to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from deforestation and forest degradation. The United States National Science Foundation continues to fund his research through more than two decades via the Plum Island Ecosystems site of the Long-Term Ecological Research network. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration also funds his research in the Brazilian Cerrado Biome via the Land-Cover and Land-Use Change program. Pontius is a member of the Scientific Advisory Board of MapBiomas and a Fulbright Scholar of Brazil. He has summarized his novel quantitative methods in his 2022 book entitled Metrics That Make a Difference: How to Analyze Change and Error. His publications have received more than 19 thousand citations. He joined Clark University as an Assistant Professor in 1998 and has been a full professor in Clark University s Graduate School of Geography since 2011. His two most popular courses are GIS & Land Change Models and GIS & Map Comparison. Students in his courses have made tutorial videos that international audiences have found helpful to understand his quantitative methods. Pontius earned a Bachelor of Science in Mathematics at University of Pittsburgh in 1984, a Masters of Applied Statistics at The Ohio State University in 1989, and a Doctorate in Environmental Science at the State University of New York’s College of Environmental Science and Forestry in 1994. Pontius has also had a career as a professional juggler, winning the People’s Choice Award at the International Jugglers Association, as his stage character Doctor Stardust.

Robert Pontius
Professor, Geography
- About
- Scholarly and creative works
- Awards and grant
Degrees
- Ph.D. in Environmental Science, State University of New York / College of Environmental Science and Forestry, 1994
- Masters in Applied Statistics, The Ohio State University, 1989
- B.S. in Mathematics and Economics, University of Pittsburgh, 1984
Affiliated Departments
Geography, Clark Labs, George Perkins Marsh Institute
Scholarly and creative works
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The new method of Trajectory Analysis characterizes change in a time series of maps
Landscapes of Change: Dynamic Interactions between Nature and PeopleRaleigh, North CarolinaApril2025Sponsored by International Association for Landscape Ecology -
Metrics That Make a Difference Workshop
International Association for Landscape EcologyRaleigh, North CarolinaApril2025 -
The new method of Trajectory Analysis characterizes change in a time series of maps
International Association for Landscape EcologyRaleigh, North CarolinaApril2025 -
A call to interpret disagreement components during classification assessment
Published in International Journal of Geographical Information ScienceMarch2025 -
Best Practices for Applying and Interpreting the Total Operating Characteristic
Published in ISPRS International Journal of Geo-InformationMarch2025Vol. 14 -
Analyzing the Losses and Gains of a Land Category: Insights from the Total Operating Characteristic
Published in LandJuly2024Vol. 13Issue #8 -
How and why do some authors claim their data and models are good?
3rd MOPT Conference: Advanced Spatial Modeling and AnalysisLisbon, PortugalMay2024Sponsored by Modelling, Urban, and Regional Planning (MOPT) research group -
Metrics That Make a Difference Workshop
5th Open Science MeetingOaxaca, MexicoNovember2024Sponsored by Global Land Programme -
Methods to compare sites concerning a category’s change during various time intervals
Published in GIScience and Remote SensingOctober2024Vol. 61Issue #1 -
Performance of CA_Markov and DINAMICA EGO models to evaluate urban risk in Antofagasta and Mejillones, Chile
Published in Natural Hazards2024Vol. 120 -
Best Practices for Classification Accuracy Metrics
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Biodiversidade, meio ambiente e desenvolvimento sustentável
Chapter: Comparison Among Time Series Maps of Deforestation in the Amazon: How Independent Monitoring Systems Relate to Official DataPublished by Editora Conhecimento Livre2024 -
Kappa the Undead and the Inconsistent Adoption of Insightful Error Metrics
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How and why do some authors claim that their data and models are good?
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Understanding Science and Communicating Uncertainty in Climate Solutions, with Gil Pontius
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Trajectories of losses and gains of soybean cultivation during multiple time intervals in western Bahia, Brazil
Space Week NordesteNASA & Federal University of Ceará, Fortaleza, BrazilAugust2023 -
Comparison among time series maps of deforestation in the Amazon: How independent monitoring systems relate to official data.
Anais do XX Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento RemotoFlorianópolis, BrazilApril2023Vol. 20 -
Four fundamental questions to evaluate land change models with an illustration of a Cellular Automata – Markov model
Published in Annals of the Association of American Geographers2023Vol. 113Issue #10 -
The Flow Matrix Offers a Straightforward Alternative to the Problematic Markov Matrix
Published in Land2023Vol. 12 -
Metrics That Make a Difference: How to Analyze Change and Error
Advances in Geographic Information Science2022ChamSwitzerland -
Encoding a Categorical Variable for Input to TerrSet’s Multi-Layer Perceptron
Published in ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2021Vol. 10Issue #10 -
Validating models of one-way land change: an example case of forest insect disturbance
Published in Landscape Ecology2021Vol. 36Issue #10 -
Area method compared with Transect method to measure shoreline movement
Published in Geocarto International2021 -
Integrating a Forward Feature Selection algorithm, Random Forest, and Cellular Automata to extrapolate urban growth in the Tehran-Karaj Region of Iran
Published in Computers, Environment and Urban Systems2021Vol. 87 -
A New Framework to Deal with the Class Imbalance Problem in Urban Gain Modeling Based on Clustering and Ensemble Models
Published in Geocarto International2021 -
Linking land change model evaluation to model objective for the assessment of land cover change impacts on biodiversity
Published in Landscape Ecology20212021
Awards and grants
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LTER-Plum Island Ecosystems: Dynamics of coastal ecosystems in a region of rapid climate change, sea-level rise, and human impacts
National Science Foundation
Oct. 1, 2022 – Sep. 30, 2028 -
Tracking the gross change of ponds in the Plum Island Ecosystems
Edna Bailey Sussman Fund
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Irrigation as climate-change adaptation in the Cerrado biome of Brazil evaluated with new quantitative methods, socio-economic analysis, and scenario models
National Aeronautics and Atmospheric Administration
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LTER: Plum Island Ecosystems, the impact of changing landscapes and climate on interconnected coastal ecosystems
National Science Foundation
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Methods and software to understand and build the MapBiomas data
Instituto Humanize
Jun. 1, 2021 – Aug. 31, 2022 -
The TOC Curve for User-oriented Accuracy Assessment for the Flood Risk and Exposure Map
Edna Bailey Sussman Fund
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Methods to study long-term response of estuarine ecosystems to climate change
Edna Bailey Sussman Fund
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Spatial Analysis Methods to Assess Changing Wetlands in the Watersheds of Plum Island Ecosystems (PIE) in Northeastern Massachusetts
Edna Bailey Sussman Fund